Wrightwood Neighbors Eviction Risk: Moderate

Cost burden runs 38% against 29.3% citywide, putting Wrightwood Neighbors 8.4% over its own city. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

The voucher gap is 21.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 16.3% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Court records carry 419 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. 3.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 1.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 0.6% in 2015, is well off that peak. Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #168 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Lakeshore East and Bucktown score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 5.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.