Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Bucktown Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 14,282 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Bucktown spans 6 census tracts of Chicago, IL and houses 14,282 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, Moderate tier. At $2,150 a month, rents sit 49% over what the rest of Chicago commands.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. The voucher gap is 22.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 14.9% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Court records carry 454 eviction filings across its 6 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 11%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Food insecurity affects 7.3% of adults, 10.5 points below the national rate. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 1.8% of renter households.

Cost burden runs 26% against 29.3% citywide, putting Bucktown 3.2% under its own city. The most recent observed rate, 0.5% in 2015, is well off that peak.

With little internal variation, 5.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

6 tracts · population-weighted

Bucktown vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

26.1% -11%

Chicago: 29.3%

Average gross rent

$2,150 +49%

Chicago: $1,440

Average HH income

$158,353 +111%

Chicago: $75,134

Poverty rate

6.4% -62%

Chicago: 16.8%

Renter share

51.2% -5%

Chicago: 54.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bucktown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Bucktown scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Rent control risk

26% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

51% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

6.4% below poverty line · Range 1.2–2.1 across tracts

1.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.8–9.2 across tracts

7.2

Risk score comparison

Bucktown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Bucktown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0 points from 5.3 to 5.3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in Bucktown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
17031221600	5.3	3,389	21%	$1,976
17031832200	5.3	3,216	23%	$1,893
17031222200	5.3	2,243	28%	$2,384
17031831000	5.3	2,224	27%	$2,508
17031832300	5.3	1,938	39%	$2,183
17031240300	5.3	1,272	26%	$2,175

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 7

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 2%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 42%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bucktown

Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

454Total filings (sum)
0.86%Avg annual filing rate
1.8%Peak year (2004)
0.52%Latest filed (2015)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bucktown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.9%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
5.3%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
14.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bucktown

What is the eviction-risk score for Bucktown?

Bucktown scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bucktown compare to Chicago overall?

Bucktown scores 1.4 points lower than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 26% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,150 vs $1,440.

What is the average rent in Bucktown?

Average gross rent in Bucktown is $2,150/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bucktown residents are renters?

51% of Bucktown households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 14,282 residents.

Is Bucktown a high social-vulnerability area?

Bucktown sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Bucktown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bucktown is census tract 17031221600 (score 5.3/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 5.3, a spread of 0 points.

How safe is Bucktown for landlords?

Bucktown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bucktown?

Bucktown has 14,304 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.9%), Hispanic / Latino (11.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bucktown

6.1 West Bucktown 6 tracts · pop 13,593 5.4 Pulaski Park 5 tracts · pop 17,442 6.2 East Humboldt Park 6 tracts · pop 15,633 5.4 Sheffield Neighbors 3 tracts · pop 10,988 5.7 Maplewood 7 tracts · pop 18,475 6.5 Palmer Square 8 tracts · pop 20,415

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bucktown.

5.3 West DePaul 3 tracts · pop 9,922 5.3 Fulton Market District 1 tracts · pop 4,677 5.3 Wrightwood Neighbors 4 tracts · pop 14,562 5.3 St. Bens 4 tracts · pop 15,430 5.3 Fulton River District 1 tracts · pop 7,730 5.3 East Village 4 tracts · pop 12,319

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