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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Clyde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cicero

Tract 17031813802 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,386 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 17031813802, home to 4,386 residents in Clyde in Cicero, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #18,512 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,143 a month against an average household income of $67,277 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 26% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,433
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$67,277

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Clyde
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Cicero
High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#424 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#575 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cicero and the region

Centroid at 41.8480, -87.7540 · click any tract to drill in

Why Clyde scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cicero
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cicero
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cicero
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cicero
5.8

How Clyde compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Clyde risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 813802Cicero: 4.94.9Ciceroparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 329Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2012)
  • 23Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318138022001: 32 filings (5.25/100 renter HHs)2002: 23 filings (3.78/100 renter HHs)2003: 24 filings (3.94/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (3.94/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (4.16/100 renter HHs)2006: 11 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)2007: 14 filings (3.24/100 renter HHs)2008: 22 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2009: 22 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2011: 23 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 35 filings (3.59/100 renter HHs)2013: 20 filings (2.05/100 renter HHs)2014: 19 filings (1.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 23 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Clyde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Clyde

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cicero eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031813802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813802?

Census tract 17031813802 in the Clyde neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031813802?

Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813802?

22.7% of residents in tract 17031813802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,386.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 68th, minority 91th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 17031813802 considered part of Clyde?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813802 fall within Clyde (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 329 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.44% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031813802 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031813802 compare to Cicero overall?

Tract 17031813802 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Cicero at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cicero eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031813802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cicero

Top eight tracts in Cicero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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