Neighborhood · Ranked #37,857 of 84,120 nationally

The Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cicero

Tract 17031813400 · Cook County, IL · pop 8,214 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 17031813400 sits in the The Island neighborhood of Cicero, Illinois. It has a population of 8,214 and an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). 37% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 9% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,111/month against a median household income of $71,899 — roughly 19% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units2,027

Renter share43.7%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate14.0%

Median income$71,899

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cicero and the region

Centroid at 41.8610, -87.7666 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Island scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Cicero

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.5

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

14.0% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,111 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Cicero

5.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Cicero

8.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Cicero

5.8

How The Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
39%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
80%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

473Total filings over 15 yrs
3.67%Avg annual filing rate
4.9%Peak (2012)
43Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2015

Filings climbed 39% over the past 15 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.0%Housing insecurity
14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
36.3%Food insecurity
27.2%SNAP enrollment
15.5%Transit barriers
31.0%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
34.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 17031813400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813400?

Census tract 17031813400 in the The Island neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17031813400?

Median gross rent is $1,111/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813400?

14.0% of residents in tract 17031813400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,214.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 84th, minority 88th, housing 39th.

Is tract 17031813400 considered part of The Island?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813400 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 473 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.67% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 17031813400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17031813400 compare to Cicero overall?

Tract 17031813400 scores 5.4/10 — lower than the parent city of Cicero at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cicero eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17031813400 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cicero

Top eight tracts in Cicero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.