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Neighborhood · Dolton, IL

Berger Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 11,894 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 6–7.8

Berger spans 3 census tracts of Dolton, IL and houses 11,894 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 42%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 78% against 47.6% citywide, putting Berger 30.3% over its own city. SNAP participation is 43.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 31.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Set annual rent against average household income of $48,231 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6 to 7.8, a 1.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.3/10.

Court records carry 2,514 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 23.5% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,509, 9% above the Dolton average of $1,384.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Berger vs Dolton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
77.9% +64%
Dolton: 47.6%
Average gross rent
$1,509 +9%
Dolton: $1,384
Average HH income
$48,231 -18%
Dolton: $58,706
Poverty rate
27.7% +35%
Dolton: 20.5%
Renter share
36.6% +34%
Dolton: 27.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Berger and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6–7.8

Why Berger scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
78% of income on rent · Range 4.8–9.3 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.3 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 3.6–6.2 across tracts
5.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–8.7 across tracts
7.3
Economic stress
27.7% below poverty line · Range 5.2–10.0 across tracts
6.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–5.1 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Berger vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Berger score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Berger: 7.37.3BergerNeighborhoodParent city: 6.46.4Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Berger?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 6 to 7.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Berger

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031826402 7.8 5,109 85% $1,543
17031826401 7.8 3,337 77% $1,774
17031825801 6 3,448 68% $1,201
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 97%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Berger

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,514Total filings (sum)
  • 11.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.5%Peak year (2014)
  • 15.35%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Berger

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Berger

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Berger?

Berger scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Berger compare to Dolton overall?

Berger scores 0.9 points higher than Dolton overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 78% of income on rent vs 48% citywide. Average rent: $1,509 vs $1,384.
Q3

What is the average rent in Berger?

Average gross rent in Berger is $1,509/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Berger residents are renters?

37% of Berger households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Dolton). The neighborhood has 11,894 residents.
Q5

Is Berger a high social-vulnerability area?

Berger sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Berger have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Berger is census tract 17031826402 (score 7.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 7.8, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Berger for landlords?

Berger carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dolton as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Berger?

Berger has 11,542 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (89.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Berger

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dolton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Berger.

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