Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Berger Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dolton
Tract 17031826401 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,337 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 7.8/10, tract 17031826401 in the Berger area of Dolton, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 50% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,232
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate25.2%
Median income$46,967
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dolton and the region
Centroid at 41.6390, -87.5930 · click any tract to drill in
Why Berger scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dolton
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
25.2% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,774 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dolton
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dolton
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dolton
8.7
How Berger compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 608Total filings over 15 yrs
- 10.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.3%Peak (2014)
- 56Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 107% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Berger. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.2%Housing insecurity
- 22.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.7%Food insecurity
- 43.4%SNAP enrollment
- 19.3%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Berger
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 77% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 43.4% against 15.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $46,967 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10. At $1,774 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Dolton commands.
It sits 1.7 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 608 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 16.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031826401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031826401?
Census tract 17031826401 in the Berger neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031826401?
Median gross rent is $1,774/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031826401?
25.2% of residents in tract 17031826401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,337.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031826401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 53th, minority 98th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 17031826401 considered part of Berger?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031826401 fall within Berger (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031826401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 608 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031826401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.37% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031826401 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031826401 compare to Dolton overall?
Tract 17031826401 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dolton at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dolton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031826401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dolton
Top eight tracts in Dolton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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