Within neighborhood
71
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Fifth City Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031271200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,384 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
17031271200 is a census tract in the Fifth City area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,384. Food insecurity runs 44.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units420
Renter share77.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate34.9%
Median income$31,048
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8774, -87.7036 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fifth City scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
34.9% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$1,273 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Fifth City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 94%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 284Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.4%Peak (2001)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fifth City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.2%Housing insecurity
- 25.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.5%Food insecurity
- 48.3%SNAP enrollment
- 21.9%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fifth City
SNAP participation runs 48.3% against 15.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 49% of average household income of $31,048, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.7/10.
The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 284 filings here across 15 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,273, 12% below the Chicago average.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 10.4% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031271200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031271200?
Census tract 17031271200 in the Fifth City neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031271200?
Median gross rent is $1,273/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031271200?
34.9% of residents in tract 17031271200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,384.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031271200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 23th, minority 92th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 17031271200 considered part of Fifth City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031271200 fall within Fifth City (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031271200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 284 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031271200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.32% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031271200 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031271200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031271200 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031271200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 94% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Dauphin Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
West Haven
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Trumbull Park Terrace
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Auburn Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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