Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Trumbull Park Terrace Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031510200 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,714 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 17031510200 sits in the Trumbull Park Terrace area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. It is home to 3,714 residents. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,217
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$48,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7143, -87.5601 · click any tract to drill in
Why Trumbull Park Terrace scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,422 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Trumbull Park Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 22%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 194Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.3%Peak (2008)
- 8Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.6%Housing insecurity
- 18.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.3%Food insecurity
- 37.7%SNAP enrollment
- 16.9%Transit barriers
- 14.9%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Trumbull Park Terrace
64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Cook County average of 45.6%. SNAP participation runs 37.7% against 15.2% nationally.
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $48,917, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Court records carry 194 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2008 at 6.3% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031510200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031510200?
Census tract 17031510200 in the Trumbull Park Terrace neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031510200?
Median gross rent is $1,422/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031510200?
20.4% of residents in tract 17031510200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,714.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031510200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 85th, minority 94th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 17031510200 considered part of Trumbull Park Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031510200 fall within Trumbull Park Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031510200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 194 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031510200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.15% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031510200 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031510200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031510200 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031510200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Edgewater Beach
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Vet's Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Kelvyn Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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