Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Forest River Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mount Prospect
Tract 17031806104 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 4,132 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 17031806104 in the Forest River area of Des Plaines, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,132 residents. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 36%Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,830
Renter share71.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$46,382
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Forest River
Very High
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 16 tracts In Mount Prospect
Very High
Within county
41th percentile
#784 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
70th percentile
#994 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mount Prospect and the region
Centroid at 42.0606, -87.8785 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest River scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mount Prospect
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,215 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mount Prospect
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mount Prospect
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mount Prospect
4.1
How Forest River compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
94%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
604Total filings over 15 yrs
5.25%Avg annual filing rate
6.8%Peak (2014)
61Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings climbed 126% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest River. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
16.3%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
23.0%Food insecurity
21.3%SNAP enrollment
10.5%Transit barriers
11.4%No health insurance
15.4%Frequent mental distress
30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest River
71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.9/10.
At $1,215 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Des Plaines commands. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 604 filings here across 15 tracked years. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Cook County average of 45.6%.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 6.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031806104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031806104?
Census tract 17031806104 in the Forest River neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031806104?
Median gross rent is $1,215/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031806104?
24.5% of residents in tract 17031806104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,132.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031806104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 52th, minority 69th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 17031806104 considered part of Forest River?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031806104 fall within Forest River (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031806104?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 604 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031806104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.25% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031806104 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031806104 compare to Mount Prospect overall?
Tract 17031806104 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Mount Prospect at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mount Prospect eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mount Prospect
Top eight tracts in Mount Prospect ranked by composite eviction-risk score.