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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Brookdale Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031430300 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,611 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 17031430300 sits in the Brookdale area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 2,611. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 42% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,039
Renter share79.8%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$53,807

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Brookdale
Moderate
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#188 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#113 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7697, -87.5894 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brookdale scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,287 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Brookdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brookdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 430300Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 977Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 8.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak (2002)
  • 82Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314303002001: 88 filings (10.69/100 renter HHs)2002: 103 filings (12.52/100 renter HHs)2003: 57 filings (6.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 77 filings (9.36/100 renter HHs)2005: 56 filings (8.42/100 renter HHs)2006: 60 filings (9.02/100 renter HHs)2007: 48 filings (7.22/100 renter HHs)2008: 37 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2009: 67 filings (10.08/100 renter HHs)2010: 67 filings (9.12/100 renter HHs)2011: 61 filings (8.84/100 renter HHs)2012: 52 filings (7.54/100 renter HHs)2013: 62 filings (8.99/100 renter HHs)2014: 60 filings (8.70/100 renter HHs)2015: 82 filings (11.88/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brookdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brookdale

SNAP participation runs 44.6% against 15.2% nationally. This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 977 filings here across 15 tracked years. At $1,287 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 12.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.0% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031430300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031430300?

Census tract 17031430300 in the Brookdale neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031430300?

Median gross rent is $1,287/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031430300?

21.4% of residents in tract 17031430300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,611.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031430300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 83th, minority 98th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 17031430300 considered part of Brookdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031430300 fall within Brookdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031430300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 977 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031430300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.99% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031430300 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031430300 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031430300 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031430300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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