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Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

River Grove Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 17031811200 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,198 · 72% of tract blocks fall in River Grove

With a score of 6.5/10, tract 17031811200 in River Grove, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Cook County average of 45.6%.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 14% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,961
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$75,057

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In River Grove
Very High
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#619 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#716 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,451 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across River Grove and the region

Centroid at 41.9222, -87.8454 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Grove scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from River Grove
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,115 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from River Grove
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from River Grove
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from River Grove
3.8

How River Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 811200River Grove: 5.95.9River Groveparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 173Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak (2003)
  • 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318112002001: 8 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2002: 16 filings (4.20/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (2.04/100 renter HHs)2008: 4 filings (1.02/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (4.34/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (2.89/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (2.48/100 renter HHs)2013: 12 filings (2.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 14 filings (2.89/100 renter HHs)2015: 12 filings (2.48/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Grove

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.8/10. Court records carry 173 eviction filings across 15 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 4.5% of renter households were served. At $1,115 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of River Grove commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $75,057, annual rent is just 18%.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031811200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031811200?

Census tract 17031811200 in River Grove scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031811200?

Median gross rent is $1,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031811200?

15.7% of residents in tract 17031811200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,198.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031811200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 62th, minority 65th, housing 5th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031811200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031811200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.74% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 17031811200 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17031811200 compare to River Grove overall?

Tract 17031811200 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of River Grove at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from River Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17031811200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in River Grove

Top eight tracts in River Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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