Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Bull Creek Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Beach Park
Tract 17097860500 · Lake County, IL · pop 4,195 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Tract 17097860500 sits in the Bull Creek Terrace area of Zion, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,566
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$59,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Beach Park and the region
Centroid at 42.4406, -87.8344 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bull Creek Terrace scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Beach Park
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,283 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Beach Park
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Beach Park
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Beach Park
7.0
How Bull Creek Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bull Creek Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.6%Food insecurity
- 26.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.6%Transit barriers
- 17.2%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 32.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bull Creek Terrace
Cost burden runs 64% here against 42.6% across Lake County. It sits 2.9 points above the Lake County average of 4.4.
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. SNAP participation runs 26.5% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 23.3% against 14.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7/10. At $1,283 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Zion commands. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17097860500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17097860500?
Census tract 17097860500 in the Bull Creek Terrace neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17097860500?
Median gross rent is $1,283/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17097860500?
21.9% of residents in tract 17097860500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,195.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17097860500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 99th, minority 81th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 17097860500 considered part of Bull Creek Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17097860500 fall within Bull Creek Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17097860500 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17097860500 compare to Beach Park overall?
Tract 17097860500 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Beach Park at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Beach Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Beach Park
Top eight tracts in Beach Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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