Bull Creek Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.4/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.6 to 7.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 26.7% of adults, 8.9 points above the national rate.

Average gross rent is $1,129, 10% below the Beach Park average of $1,254. At 28% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $58,228.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.