Greystone Fields Eviction Risk: Elevated

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.

67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10. SNAP participation is 29.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

14.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,073 a month, rents sit 11% over what the rest of Normal commands.

Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Normal, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Highland Historic District and Vernon Stables score within a fraction of it.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.