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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

East Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rock Island

Tract 17161024500 · Rock Island County, IL · pop 2,206 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

In the East Circle neighborhood of Rock Island, census tract 17161024500 scores 6.3/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #14,284 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $817 monthly, set against $38,935 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 34% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units775
Renter share71.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$38,935

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Circle
Moderate
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 12 tracts In Rock Island
Moderate
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 43 tracts In Rock Island County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#660 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rock Island and the region

Centroid at 41.5128, -90.5439 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Circle scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rock Island
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$817 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rock Island
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rock Island
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rock Island
7.6

How East Circle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Circle risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 024500Rock Island: 4.64.6Rock Islandparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Circle

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rock Island eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Rock Island County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17161024500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17161024500?

Census tract 17161024500 in the East Circle neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17161024500?

Median gross rent is $817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17161024500?

23.0% of residents in tract 17161024500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,206.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17161024500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 90th, minority 75th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 17161024500 considered part of East Circle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17161024500 fall within East Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17161024500 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17161024500 compare to Rock Island overall?

Tract 17161024500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rock Island at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rock Island eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rock Island

Top eight tracts in Rock Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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