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Neighborhood · Rock Island, IL

East Circle Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,206 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

East Circle maps to a single census tract in Rock Island, IL and houses 2,206 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 53% against 32.0% citywide, putting East Circle 21.0% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10.

Food insecurity affects 33.4% of adults, 15.6 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.6/10.

16.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $817, close to the Rock Island average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $38,935.

One tract means one number: 6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
East Circle vs Rock Island How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.0% +66%
Rock Island: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$817 -3%
Rock Island: $842
Average HH income
$38,935 -32%
Rock Island: $57,292
Poverty rate
23.0% +10%
Rock Island: 21.0%
Renter share
71.9% +105%
Rock Island: 35.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Circle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6–6

Why East Circle scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Economic stress
23.0% below poverty line · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

East Circle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Circle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.0East CircleNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in East Circle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17161024500 6 2,206 53% $817
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 97

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 95%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 90%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in East Circle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About East Circle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Circle?

East Circle scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Circle compare to Rock Island overall?

East Circle scores 1.4 points higher than Rock Island overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $817 vs $842.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Circle?

Average gross rent in East Circle is $817/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Circle residents are renters?

72% of East Circle households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Rock Island). The neighborhood has 2,206 residents.
Q5

Is East Circle a high social-vulnerability area?

East Circle sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is East Circle for landlords?

East Circle carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rock Island as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of East Circle?

East Circle has 2,056 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.2%), Hispanic / Latino (29.3%), Other / Multiracial (15.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Circle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Rock Island

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Circle.

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