Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Watertown Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Moline
Tract 17161020600 · Rock Island County, IL · pop 2,156 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Elevated-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 17161020600 reflects conditions in the Watertown area of East Moline, Illinois. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.
37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $768 a month against an average household income of $53,947 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units874
Renter share33.2%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$53,947
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Moline and the region
Centroid at 41.5263, -90.4386 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watertown scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Moline
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$768 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Moline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Moline
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Moline
6.9
How Watertown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.5%Housing insecurity
- 17.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.6%Food insecurity
- 35.9%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 19.7%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watertown
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Moline eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Rock Island County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 25.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17161020600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17161020600?
Census tract 17161020600 in the Watertown neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17161020600?
Median gross rent is $768/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17161020600?
26.0% of residents in tract 17161020600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,156.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17161020600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 88th, minority 64th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 17161020600 considered part of Watertown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17161020600 fall within Watertown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17161020600 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17161020600 compare to East Moline overall?
Tract 17161020600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of East Moline at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Moline eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Moline
Top eight tracts in East Moline ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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