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Neighborhood · East Moline, IL

Watertown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,156 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.9–5.9

Watertown maps to a single census tract in East Moline, IL, population 2,156. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Against a East Moline baseline of 29.4%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Food insecurity affects 34.6% of adults, 16.8 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 25.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.4/10.

At $768 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of East Moline commands. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Watertown vs East Moline How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.2% +27%
East Moline: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$768 -12%
East Moline: $868
Average HH income
$53,947 -15%
East Moline: $63,328
Poverty rate
26.0% +44%
East Moline: 18.1%
Renter share
33.2% -7%
East Moline: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Watertown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.9–5.9

Why Watertown scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
26.0% below poverty line · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Watertown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Watertown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.9WatertownNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city5.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Watertown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17161020600 5.9 2,156 37% $768
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Watertown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Watertown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Watertown?

Watertown scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Watertown compare to East Moline overall?

Watertown scores 1.4 points higher than East Moline overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $768 vs $868.
Q3

What is the average rent in Watertown?

Average gross rent in Watertown is $768/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Watertown residents are renters?

33% of Watertown households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in East Moline). The neighborhood has 2,156 residents.
Q5

Is Watertown a high social-vulnerability area?

Watertown sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Watertown for landlords?

Watertown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to East Moline as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Watertown?

Watertown has 2,067 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.2%), Hispanic / Latino (33.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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