Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
East Circle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rock Island
Tract 17161024500 ·
Rock Island County, IL · pop 2,206 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 17161024500 in the East Circle area of Rock Island, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,206 residents. Against Rock Island County at 40.3%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%Stable renters 34%Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units775
Renter share71.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$38,935
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In East Circle
Moderate
Within parent city
55th percentile
#6 of 12 tracts In Rock Island
Moderate
Within county
86th percentile
#7 of 43 tracts In Rock Island County
High
Within state
74th percentile
#851 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rock Island and the region
Centroid at 41.5128, -90.5439 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Circle scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rock Island
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$817 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rock Island
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rock Island
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rock Island
7.6
How East Circle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
95%Socioeconomic
90%Household composition
75%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
24.1%Housing insecurity
16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
33.4%Food insecurity
34.7%SNAP enrollment
16.9%Transit barriers
17.0%No health insurance
22.3%Frequent mental distress
40.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Circle
SNAP participation runs 34.7% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Rock Island County average of 4.6. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.6/10.
The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 24.1% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10.
Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17161024500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17161024500?
Census tract 17161024500 in the East Circle neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17161024500?
Median gross rent is $817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17161024500?
23.0% of residents in tract 17161024500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,206.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17161024500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 90th, minority 75th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 17161024500 considered part of East Circle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17161024500 fall within East Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17161024500 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17161024500 compare to Rock Island overall?
Tract 17161024500 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Rock Island at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rock Island eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rock Island
Top eight tracts in Rock Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.