Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Fallingbrook Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 17167001004 ·
Sangamon County, IL · pop 4,884 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17167001004 in the Fallingbrook area of Springfield, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%Stable renters 34%Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,709
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$52,949
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Fallingbrook
Moderate
Within parent city
95th percentile
#3 of 39 tracts In Springfield
Very High
Within county
94th percentile
#4 of 54 tracts In Sangamon County
Very High
Within state
63th percentile
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 39.7943, -89.6968 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fallingbrook scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$883 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
4.0
How Fallingbrook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
66%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.5%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
18.2%Food insecurity
19.3%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
8.2%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
32.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fallingbrook
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Sangamon County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.
Against Sangamon County at 38.5%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $883, 9% below the Springfield average.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Springfield eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $52,949. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17167001004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167001004?
Census tract 17167001004 in the Fallingbrook neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17167001004?
Median gross rent is $883/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17167001004?
22.0% of residents in tract 17167001004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,884.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17167001004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 45th, minority 54th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 17167001004 considered part of Fallingbrook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167001004 fall within Fallingbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17167001004 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17167001004 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 17167001004 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.