Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Fallingbrook Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167001004 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 4,884 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 17167001004 runs through the Fallingbrook neighborhood of Springfield. With 4,884 residents, it scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 43rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $883 monthly, set against $52,949 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 34% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units2,709

Renter share59.5%

SVI overall0.57

Poverty rate22.0%

Median income$52,949

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7943, -89.6968 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fallingbrook scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

22.0% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$883 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Fallingbrook compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.5%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
18.2%Food insecurity
19.3%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
8.2%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
32.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fallingbrook

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167001004

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167001004?

Census tract 17167001004 in the Fallingbrook neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167001004?

Median gross rent is $883/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167001004?

22.0% of residents in tract 17167001004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,884.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167001004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 45th, minority 54th, housing 44th.

Is tract 17167001004 considered part of Fallingbrook?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167001004 fall within Fallingbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167001004 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167001004 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167001004 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.