Poplar Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 38.5% across Sangamon County. Annualized rent equals 55% of average household income of $22,284, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Housing insecurity runs 37.9% against 14.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.2/10.

The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 49.7% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Sangamon County average of 4.2. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.