Lake Knolls Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,096, 12% above the Springfield average of $975. 4.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Springfield, it ranks #13 by risk, the lower third. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Harrison Park and West Road Park score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $116,378, annual rent is only 11%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.