3 census tracts · pop 5,729 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
South Town is a 3-tract neighborhood of Springfield, IL, population 5,729. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 48% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Springfield rate of 29.2%.
The poverty rate is 39%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.6/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Food insecurity affects 37.1% of adults, 19.3 points above the national rate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 27.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. That places it #1 of 16 neighborhoods in Springfield. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $954, close to the Springfield average.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $38,298. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
South Town vs SpringfieldHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Town
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
27.3%Housing insecurity
21.4%Utility shutoff threat
36.9%Food insecurity
42.8%SNAP enrollment
13.6%No health insurance
41.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About South Town
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South Town?
South Town scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South Town compare to Springfield overall?
South Town scores 1.4 points higher than Springfield overall (4/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $954 vs $975.
Q3
What is the average rent in South Town?
Average gross rent in South Town is $954/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South Town residents are renters?
62% of South Town households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 5,729 residents.
Q5
Is South Town a high social-vulnerability area?
South Town sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in South Town have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in South Town is census tract 17167001800 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is South Town for landlords?
South Town carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of South Town?
South Town has 5,753 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (51.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (37.3%), Hispanic / Latino (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
