Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , O'Fallon
Tract 17163504355 ·
St. Clair County, IL · pop 5,117 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 17163504355 in the Forest Hills area of O'Fallon, IL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,117 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 10%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,790
Renter share17.8%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$141,928
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
33th percentile
#5 of 7 tracts In O'Fallon
Low
Within county
10th percentile
#61 of 68 tracts In St. Clair County
Very Low
Within state
12th percentile
#2,873 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across O'Fallon and the region
Centroid at 38.6280, -89.9202 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from O'Fallon
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$937 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from O'Fallon
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from O'Fallon
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.0
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
7%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.4%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
8.7%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
At $937 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of O'Fallon commands. It sits 1.5 points below the St. Clair County average of 4.5. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $141,928, annual rent is just 8%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17163504355
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163504355?
Census tract 17163504355 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17163504355?
Median gross rent is $937/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17163504355?
2.9% of residents in tract 17163504355 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,117.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17163504355?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 13th, minority 52th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 17163504355 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17163504355 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17163504355 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17163504355 compare to O'Fallon overall?
Tract 17163504355 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of O'Fallon at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from O'Fallon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in O'Fallon
Top eight tracts in O'Fallon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.