Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
BreckenRidge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Loves Park
Tract 17201003810 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 6,139 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 17201003810 in the BreckenRidge area of Loves Park, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,684
Renter share27.7%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$92,564
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Loves Park and the region
Centroid at 42.3290, -88.9775 · click any tract to drill in
Why BreckenRidge scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Loves Park
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,295 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Loves Park
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Loves Park
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Loves Park
5.8
How BreckenRidge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.8%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in BreckenRidge
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. 37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Winnebago County average of 44.4%.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 3/10. Average gross rent is $1,295, 16% above the Loves Park average. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $92,564, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Winnebago County average of 4.3 closely.
28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201003810
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003810?
Census tract 17201003810 in the BreckenRidge neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201003810?
Median gross rent is $1,295/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003810?
11.9% of residents in tract 17201003810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,139.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003810?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 46th, minority 46th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 17201003810 considered part of BreckenRidge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201003810 fall within BreckenRidge (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17201003810 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17201003810 compare to Loves Park overall?
Tract 17201003810 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Loves Park at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Loves Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Loves Park
Top eight tracts in Loves Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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