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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Wingate Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockton

Tract 17201004002 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 5,897 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 17201004002 sits in the Wingate area of Rockton, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,897. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,346
Renter share26.1%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$77,941

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Wingate
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Rockton
Moderate
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#63 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#2,873 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockton and the region

Centroid at 42.4535, -89.0545 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wingate scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockton
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$965 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockton
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockton
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockton
4.6

How Wingate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wingate risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0040024.0Rocktonparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wingate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wingate

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.9/10. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.

Cost burden runs 51% here against 44.4% across Winnebago County. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $77,941, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $965, close to the Rockton average.

26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201004002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201004002?

Census tract 17201004002 in the Wingate neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201004002?

Median gross rent is $965/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201004002?

7.4% of residents in tract 17201004002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,897.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201004002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 16th, minority 19th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 17201004002 considered part of Wingate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201004002 fall within Wingate (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17201004002 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17201004002 compare to Rockton overall?

Tract 17201004002 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Rockton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockton

Top eight tracts in Rockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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