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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Valley Mills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Indianapolis

Tract 18097370201 · Marion County, IN · pop 3,354 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 18097370201 in the Valley Mills area of Indianapolis, IN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Marion County at 46.3%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 21% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,314
Renter share53.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate26.8%
Median income$54,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Valley Mills
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 231 tracts In Indianapolis
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 253 tracts In Marion County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#93 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Indianapolis and the region

Centroid at 39.7018, -86.2532 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valley Mills scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Indianapolis
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
26.8% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$933 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Indianapolis
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Indianapolis
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Indianapolis
6.8

How Valley Mills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valley Mills risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 3702014.0Indianapolisparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 553Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.89×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Indianapolis, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valley Mills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valley Mills

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.

It sits 1.2 points above the Marion County average of 4.2. At $933 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Indianapolis commands.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Indianapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.

Statewide the IN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $54,333. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18097370201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18097370201?

Census tract 18097370201 in the Valley Mills neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18097370201?

Median gross rent is $933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18097370201?

26.8% of residents in tract 18097370201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,354.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18097370201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 69th, minority 36th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 18097370201 considered part of Valley Mills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18097370201 fall within Valley Mills (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 18097370201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Indianapolis eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 18097370201 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 18097370201 compare to Indianapolis overall?

Tract 18097370201 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Indianapolis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Indianapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 18097370201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Indianapolis

Top eight tracts in Indianapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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