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Neighborhood · Mishawaka, IN

McKinley Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,295 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3–5.1

McKinley Terrace is a 2-tract neighborhood of Mishawaka, IN and houses 6,295 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 29.0% citywide, putting McKinley Terrace 15.6% over its own city.

76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3 to 5.1. A 2.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10.

Filings are well documented here: 191 across 2 observed tracts. At $920 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Mishawaka commands.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 10.5% of renter households. Judgments average 5.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $45,276.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
McKinley Terrace vs Mishawaka How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.6% +54%
Mishawaka: 29.0%
Average gross rent
$920 -14%
Mishawaka: $1,070
Average HH income
$45,276 -15%
Mishawaka: $53,120
Poverty rate
12.6% -23%
Mishawaka: 16.3%
Renter share
75.6% +49%
Mishawaka: 50.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across McKinley Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–5.1

Why McKinley Terrace scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.8 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.0–6.4 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.5 across tracts
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
76% renter households · Range 3.0–9.2 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–6.8 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
12.6% below poverty line · Range 1.8–3.8 across tracts
3.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–5.2 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

McKinley Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

McKinley Terrace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4McKinley TerraceNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in McKinley Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
18141011501 5.1 4,294 52% $830
18141001300 3 2,001 29% $1,112
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in McKinley Terrace

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 191Total filings (sum)
  • 8.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak year (2015)
  • 8.95%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,859Total filings 2020-21
  • 14.7Avg monthly observed
  • 8.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.63×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond, VA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in McKinley Terrace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About McKinley Terrace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for McKinley Terrace?

McKinley Terrace scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does McKinley Terrace compare to Mishawaka overall?

McKinley Terrace scores 0.2 points higher than Mishawaka overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $920 vs $1,070.
Q3

What is the average rent in McKinley Terrace?

Average gross rent in McKinley Terrace is $920/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of McKinley Terrace residents are renters?

76% of McKinley Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Mishawaka). The neighborhood has 6,295 residents.
Q5

Is McKinley Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

McKinley Terrace sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in McKinley Terrace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in McKinley Terrace is census tract 18141011501 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.1, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is McKinley Terrace for landlords?

McKinley Terrace carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mishawaka as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of McKinley Terrace?

McKinley Terrace has 6,110 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19%), Other / Multiracial (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near McKinley Terrace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mishawaka

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to McKinley Terrace.

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