Wynbrooke Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 39.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Against a Newburgh baseline of 19.4%, 12% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.1/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 9%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Food insecurity affects 7.7% of adults, 10.1 points below the national rate. That places it #2 of 4 neighborhoods in Newburgh. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.3 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.