Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Prairie Trail Eviction Risk: Lower , Ankeny
Tract 19153010205 · Polk County, IA · pop 8,295 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 19153010205 sits in the Prairie Trail area of Ankeny eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 8,295 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units3,407
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$111,006
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ankeny and the region
Centroid at 41.7198, -93.6168 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prairie Trail scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ankeny
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,423 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ankeny
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ankeny
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ankeny
3.4
How Prairie Trail compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 169Total filings over 10 yrs
- 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2015)
- 47Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 213% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prairie Trail. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prairie Trail
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Against Polk County at 42.0%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally.
The voucher gap is 17.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 169 eviction filings across 10 observed years.
Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153010205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010205?
Census tract 19153010205 in the Prairie Trail neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153010205?
Median gross rent is $1,423/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010205?
5.5% of residents in tract 19153010205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,295.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 7th, minority 18th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 19153010205 considered part of Prairie Trail?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153010205 fall within Prairie Trail (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153010205?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 169 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153010205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.22% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153010205 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153010205 compare to Ankeny overall?
Tract 19153010205 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Ankeny at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ankeny eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ankeny
Top eight tracts in Ankeny ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
19153010601
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153010208
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153010207
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153010211
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153010212
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153010213
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
Prairie Trail
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IA
19153010215
3
/ 10 · Low
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