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Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Prairie Trail Eviction Risk: Lower , Ankeny

Tract 19153010214 · Polk County, IA · pop 9,351 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 19153010214 belongs to Prairie Trail in Ankeny, Iowa. It is home to 9,351 residents and scores $1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 39% of US census tracts.

About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,487 a month against an average household income of $96,209 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 24% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units3,694
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$96,209

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Prairie Trail
Very High
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 12 tracts In Ankeny
Moderate
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#812 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ankeny and the region

Centroid at 41.6957, -93.6103 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prairie Trail scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ankeny
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,487 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ankeny
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ankeny
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ankeny
3.4

How Prairie Trail compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Prairie Trail risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 010214Ankeny: 2.32.3Ankenyparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Prairie Trail. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prairie Trail

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ankeny eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153010214

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010214?

Census tract 19153010214 in the Prairie Trail neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153010214?

Median gross rent is $1,487/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010214?

4.5% of residents in tract 19153010214 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,351.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010214?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 51th, minority 33th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 19153010214 considered part of Prairie Trail?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153010214 fall within Prairie Trail (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 19153010214 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19153010214 compare to Ankeny overall?

Tract 19153010214 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Ankeny at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ankeny eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ankeny

Top eight tracts in Ankeny ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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