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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Prairie Trail Eviction Risk: Lower , Ankeny

Tract 19153010214 · Polk County, IA · pop 9,351 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 19153010214 in the Prairie Trail area of Ankeny, IA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 9,351 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 24% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units3,694
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$96,209

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Prairie Trail
Very Low
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 12 tracts In Ankeny
Elevated
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#97 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Very Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#590 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ankeny and the region

Centroid at 41.6957, -93.6103 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prairie Trail scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ankeny
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,487 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ankeny
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ankeny
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ankeny
3.4

How Prairie Trail compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Prairie Trail risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0102143.5Ankenyparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Prairie Trail. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prairie Trail

Against Polk County at 42.0%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

The voucher gap is 22.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,487, 13% above the Ankeny average.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.8/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153010214

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010214?

Census tract 19153010214 in the Prairie Trail neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153010214?

Median gross rent is $1,487/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010214?

4.5% of residents in tract 19153010214 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,351.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010214?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 51th, minority 33th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 19153010214 considered part of Prairie Trail?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153010214 fall within Prairie Trail (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 19153010214 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19153010214 compare to Ankeny overall?

Tract 19153010214 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Ankeny at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ankeny eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ankeny

Top eight tracts in Ankeny ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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