1 census tracts · pop 4,379 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 4.8–4.8
Avon Lake is a one-tract neighborhood of Des Moines, IA and houses 4,379 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Des Moines baseline of 29.6%, 50% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,380, 27% above the Des Moines average of $1,090.
The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.
The voucher gap is 13.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Among the 44 mapped neighborhoods of Des Moines, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
For a like-for-like read, Drake Park and Capitol East score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Avon Lake vs Des MoinesHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Avon Lake
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.7%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility shutoff threat
18.6%Food insecurity
15.8%SNAP enrollment
10.8%No health insurance
30.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Avon Lake
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Avon Lake?
Avon Lake scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Avon Lake compare to Des Moines overall?
Avon Lake scores 1.4 points higher than Des Moines overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,380 vs $1,090.
Q3
What is the average rent in Avon Lake?
Average gross rent in Avon Lake is $1,380/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Avon Lake residents are renters?
15% of Avon Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Des Moines). The neighborhood has 4,379 residents.
Q5
Is Avon Lake a high social-vulnerability area?
Avon Lake sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Avon Lake for landlords?
Avon Lake carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Des Moines as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Avon Lake?
Avon Lake has 4,474 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.1%), Hispanic / Latino (16.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
