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Neighborhood · Des Moines, IA

Oak Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,728 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Oak Park maps to a single census tract in Des Moines, IA and houses 3,728 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Des Moines baseline of 29.6%, 68% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 334 evictions logged in this tract. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 11.0% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 7.1% in 2015 against a 11.0% peak. That places it #1 of 44 neighborhoods in Des Moines.

At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,080, close to the Des Moines average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $64,185.

One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Oak Park vs Des Moines How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
68.2% +130%
Des Moines: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$1,080 -1%
Des Moines: $1,090
Average HH income
$64,185 +0%
Des Moines: $63,966
Poverty rate
19.5% +31%
Des Moines: 14.9%
Renter share
25.3% -36%
Des Moines: 39.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Oak Park scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
19.5% below poverty line · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Oak Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oak Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Oak ParkNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Oak Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
19153000600 4.8 3,728 68% $1,080
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 94%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oak Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 334Total filings (sum)
  • 6.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.0%Peak year (2007)
  • 7.14%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oak Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Oak Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Park?

Oak Park scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oak Park compare to Des Moines overall?

Oak Park scores 1.4 points higher than Des Moines overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,080 vs $1,090.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oak Park?

Average gross rent in Oak Park is $1,080/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oak Park residents are renters?

25% of Oak Park households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Des Moines). The neighborhood has 3,728 residents.
Q5

Is Oak Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Oak Park sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Oak Park for landlords?

Oak Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Des Moines as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Park?

Oak Park has 3,536 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.5%), Hispanic / Latino (18%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oak Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Des Moines

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oak Park.

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