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Neighborhood · Des Moines, IA

Grays Lake Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,179 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Grays Lake is a one-tract neighborhood of Des Moines, IA, population 3,179. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 84% against 29.6% citywide, putting Grays Lake 54.1% over its own city.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2/10.

Court records for this tract carry 178 eviction filings. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 13.6% of renter households. At $978 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Des Moines commands.

The most recent observed rate, 7.4% in 2015, is well off that peak. Among the 44 mapped neighborhoods of Des Moines, it ranks #36 by risk, the lower third.

At 12% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Lower Beaver and Waveland Park score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Grays Lake vs Des Moines How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
83.7% +183%
Des Moines: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$978 -10%
Des Moines: $1,090
Average HH income
$81,438 +27%
Des Moines: $63,966
Poverty rate
7.8% -48%
Des Moines: 14.9%
Renter share
11.6% -71%
Des Moines: 39.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grays Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Grays Lake scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
84% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
12% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
7.8% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Grays Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grays Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3Grays LakeNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Grays Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
19153004100 3.3 3,179 84% $978
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 23%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grays Lake

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 178Total filings (sum)
  • 6.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.6%Peak year (2010)
  • 7.37%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grays Lake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Grays Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grays Lake?

Grays Lake scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grays Lake compare to Des Moines overall?

Grays Lake scores 0.1 points lower than Des Moines overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 84% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $978 vs $1,090.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grays Lake?

Average gross rent in Grays Lake is $978/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grays Lake residents are renters?

12% of Grays Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Des Moines). The neighborhood has 3,179 residents.
Q5

Is Grays Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Grays Lake sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Grays Lake for landlords?

Grays Lake carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Des Moines as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Grays Lake?

Grays Lake has 3,099 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.8%), Hispanic / Latino (11.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (0.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grays Lake

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Des Moines

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grays Lake.

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