Grays Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines
Tract 19153004100 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,179 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 19153004100 covers part of the Grays Lake area of Des Moines, IA, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,179 residents. Against Polk County at 42.0%, 84% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5647, -93.6332 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grays Lake scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Grays Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 30%Grade A
- 25%Grade B
- 37%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 178Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.6%Peak (2010)
- 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Grays Lake
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 178 evictions over 10 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.
At $978 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Des Moines commands. The worst year on record was 2010, when 13.6% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $81,438, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 19153004100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004100?
What is the average rent in tract 19153004100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004100?
Is tract 19153004100 considered part of Grays Lake?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004100?
What share of households in tract 19153004100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 19153004100 compare to Des Moines overall?
Was tract 19153004100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.