Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Johnston Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 19153011305 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,611
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 19153011305 in Johnston, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,128
Renter share55.6%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$66,532
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Johnston and the region
Centroid at 41.6770, -93.7607 · click any tract to drill in
Why Johnston scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Johnston
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,335 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnston
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnston
5.3
How Johnston compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 14.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Johnston
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Polk County average of 3.8.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Against Polk County at 42.0%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Average gross rent is $1,335, close to the Johnston average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $66,532.
56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153011305
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153011305?
Census tract 19153011305 in Johnston scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153011305?
Median gross rent is $1,335/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153011305?
21.9% of residents in tract 19153011305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,611.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153011305?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 56th, minority 59th, housing 66th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 19153011305 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 19153011305 compare to Johnston overall?
Tract 19153011305 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Johnston at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Johnston
Top eight tracts in Johnston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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