Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Johnston Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 19153011406 ·
Polk County, IA · pop 6,300 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Johnston
Census tract 19153011406 covers part of Johnston, IA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,300. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%Stable renters 14%Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,885
Renter share34.6%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$90,787
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
80th percentile
#2 of 6 tracts In Johnston
High
Within county
56th percentile
#50 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Elevated
Within state
62th percentile
#340 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Elevated
National
38th percentile
#52,479 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Johnston and the region
Centroid at 41.7082, -93.7060 · click any tract to drill in
Why Johnston scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Johnston
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnston
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnston
5.3
How Johnston compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.1%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
8.8%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
22.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Johnston
Against Polk County at 42.0%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,197 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Johnston commands.
That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Against average income of $90,787, annual rent is just 16%.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153011406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153011406?
Census tract 19153011406 in Johnston scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153011406?
Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153011406?
10.9% of residents in tract 19153011406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,300.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153011406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 51th, minority 32th, housing 29th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 19153011406 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 19153011406 compare to Johnston overall?
Tract 19153011406 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Johnston at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Johnston
Top eight tracts in Johnston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.