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Neighborhood · Winchester, KY

Lyndale Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,145 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3.8–4.4

Lyndale is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Winchester with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,145 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 27% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 4% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,033/month sits 13% higher than the Winchester citywide average ($916).

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lyndale vs Winchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.9% -14%
Winchester: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,033 +13%
Winchester: $916
Average HH income
$91,575 +59%
Winchester: $57,653
Poverty rate
11.6% -27%
Winchester: 15.8%
Renter share
22.9% -42%
Winchester: 39.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lyndale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.8–4.4

Why Lyndale scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
11.6% below poverty line · Range 2.1–3.5 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–5.0 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Lyndale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lyndale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lyndale: 4.14.1LyndaleNeighborhoodParent city: 2.52.5Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lyndale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
21049020103 4.4 3,810 26% $1,170
21049020105 3.8 3,335 28% $877
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 12%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Lyndale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lyndale?

Lyndale scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lyndale compare to Winchester overall?

Lyndale scores 1.6 points higher than Winchester overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,033 vs $916.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lyndale?

Average gross rent in Lyndale is $1,033/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lyndale residents are renters?

23% of Lyndale households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Winchester). The neighborhood has 7,145 residents.
Q5

Is Lyndale a high social-vulnerability area?

Lyndale sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lyndale have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lyndale is census tract 21049020103 (score 4.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 4.4, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Lyndale for landlords?

Lyndale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winchester as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lyndale?

Lyndale has 7,132 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (90.6%), Hispanic / Latino (4.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lyndale.

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