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Neighborhood · Winchester, KY

Lyndale Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,145 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3–3.8

Lyndale is a 2-tract neighborhood of Winchester, KY, population 7,145. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.4/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.1/10. Cost burden runs 27% against 31.4% citywide, putting Lyndale 4.5% under its own city. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10.

At $1,033 a month, rents sit 13% over what the rest of Winchester commands. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Rent takes 14% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lyndale vs Winchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.9% -14%
Winchester: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,033 +13%
Winchester: $916
Average HH income
$91,575 +59%
Winchester: $57,653
Poverty rate
11.6% -27%
Winchester: 15.8%
Renter share
22.9% -42%
Winchester: 39.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lyndale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.8

Why Lyndale scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
11.6% below poverty line · Range 2.1–3.5 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–5.0 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Lyndale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lyndale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4LyndaleNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lyndale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
21049020103 3.8 3,810 26% $1,170
21049020105 3 3,335 28% $877
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 12%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Lyndale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lyndale?

Lyndale scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lyndale compare to Winchester overall?

Lyndale scores 0.6 points lower than Winchester overall (4/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,033 vs $916.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lyndale?

Average gross rent in Lyndale is $1,033/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lyndale residents are renters?

23% of Lyndale households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Winchester). The neighborhood has 7,145 residents.
Q5

Is Lyndale a high social-vulnerability area?

Lyndale sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lyndale have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lyndale is census tract 21049020103 (score 3.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.8, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Lyndale for landlords?

Lyndale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winchester as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lyndale?

Lyndale has 7,132 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (90.6%), Hispanic / Latino (4.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lyndale.

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