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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Lewisburg Eviction Risk: Moderate , Covington

Tract 21117061600 · Kenton County, KY · pop 1,440 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 21117061600 in the Lewisburg area of Covington, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 32% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units644
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$56,944

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Lewisburg
Moderate
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 15 tracts In Covington
Low
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 44 tracts In Kenton County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#393 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Covington and the region

Centroid at 39.0766, -84.5228 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lewisburg scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Covington
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,000 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Covington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Covington
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Covington
4.0

How Lewisburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lewisburg risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0616003.8Covingtonparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lewisburg. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lewisburg

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.

45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Kenton County average of 37.9%. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

It sits 0.6 points above the Kenton County average of 3.8. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,000, close to the Covington average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $56,944.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21117061600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21117061600?

Census tract 21117061600 in the Lewisburg neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21117061600?

Median gross rent is $1,000/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21117061600?

12.1% of residents in tract 21117061600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,440.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21117061600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 81th, minority 59th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 21117061600 considered part of Lewisburg?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21117061600 fall within Lewisburg (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21117061600 compare to Covington overall?

Tract 21117061600 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Covington at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Covington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21117061600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Covington

Top eight tracts in Covington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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