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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Erlanger Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21117064400 · Kenton County, KY · pop 3,696 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Erlanger

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 21117064400 in Erlanger, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,696 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.7/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 36% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,520
Renter share57.6%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$59,743

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Erlanger
Very High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 44 tracts In Kenton County
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#244 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erlanger and the region

Centroid at 39.0292, -84.5969 · click any tract to drill in

Why Erlanger scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erlanger
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$993 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erlanger
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erlanger
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erlanger
5.0

How Erlanger compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Erlanger risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0644003.7Erlangerparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Erlanger

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10.

Against the Kenton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 37% of renters. Average gross rent is $993, close to the Erlanger average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21117064400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21117064400?

Census tract 21117064400 in Erlanger scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21117064400?

Median gross rent is $993/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21117064400?

16.6% of residents in tract 21117064400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,696.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21117064400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 79th, minority 39th, housing 83th.
Q5

How does tract 21117064400 compare to Erlanger overall?

Tract 21117064400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Erlanger at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erlanger eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q6

Was tract 21117064400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erlanger

Top eight tracts in Erlanger ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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