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Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Elsmere Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21117065600 · Kenton County, KY · pop 6,241 · 58% of tract blocks fall in Elsmere

Tract 21117065600 sits in Elsmere eviction risk, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 6,241. Cost burden runs about half here against 37.9% across Kenton County.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 18% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,323
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$65,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Elsmere
Moderate
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 44 tracts In Kenton County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#147 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elsmere and the region

Centroid at 38.9993, -84.5933 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elsmere scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elsmere
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$876 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elsmere
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elsmere
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elsmere
6.5

How Elsmere compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elsmere risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0656003.9Elsmereparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elsmere

Average gross rent is $876, 35% below the Elsmere average. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.7/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Kenton County average of 3.8. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Covington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $65,625, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 21117065600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21117065600?

Census tract 21117065600 in Elsmere scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21117065600?

Median gross rent is $876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21117065600?

17.7% of residents in tract 21117065600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,241.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21117065600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 66th, minority 32th, housing 46th.
Q5

How does tract 21117065600 compare to Elsmere overall?

Tract 21117065600 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elsmere at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q6

Was tract 21117065600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elsmere

Top eight tracts in Elsmere ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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