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Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Shelbyville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 21211040402 · Shelby County, KY · pop 4,462 · 22% of tract blocks fall in Shelbyville

Census tract 21211040402 covers part of Shelbyville, KY, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,462. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 15% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,633
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$89,306

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Shelbyville
Moderate
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 12 tracts In Shelby County
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#762 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Moderate
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#57,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shelbyville and the region

Centroid at 38.1523, -85.2333 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shelbyville scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shelbyville
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,322 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shelbyville
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shelbyville
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shelbyville
5.1

How Shelbyville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shelbyville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 0404023.8Shelbyvilleparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 2.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak (2006)
  • 5Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shelbyville

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Shelby County average of 24.1%.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,322, 28% above the Shelbyville average.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions over 2 years of observation. The voucher gap is 15.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 2.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $89,306, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21211040402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21211040402?

Census tract 21211040402 in Shelbyville scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21211040402?

Median gross rent is $1,322/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21211040402?

6.4% of residents in tract 21211040402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,462.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21211040402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 60th, minority 34th, housing 47th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21211040402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 21211040402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.55% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21211040402 compare to Shelbyville overall?

Tract 21211040402 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Shelbyville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shelbyville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shelbyville

Top eight tracts in Shelbyville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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