Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Afton Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Baton Rouge

Tract 22033003907 · East Baton Rouge Parish, LA · pop 6,229 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

22033003907 is a census tract in the Afton Oaks area of Baton Rouge, LA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,229. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 25% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units2,633

Renter share50.7%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate11.6%

Median income$89,341

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baton Rouge and the region

Centroid at 30.4209, -91.0437 · click any tract to drill in

Why Afton Oaks scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Baton Rouge

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Louisiana legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

11.6% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,135 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Baton Rouge

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Baton Rouge

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Baton Rouge

3.5

How Afton Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.6%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.8%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
9.0%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
31.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Afton Oaks

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

Against the East Baton Rouge Parish average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.9/10.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $89,341, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters.

Average gross rent is $1,135, close to the Baton Rouge average. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 22033003907

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22033003907?

Census tract 22033003907 in the Afton Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 22033003907?

Median gross rent is $1,135/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 22033003907?

11.6% of residents in tract 22033003907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,229.

How socially vulnerable is tract 22033003907?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 71th, minority 65th, housing 22th.

Is tract 22033003907 considered part of Afton Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22033003907 fall within Afton Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 22033003907 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 22033003907 compare to Baton Rouge overall?

Tract 22033003907 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Baton Rouge at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baton Rouge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baton Rouge

Top eight tracts in Baton Rouge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.