Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Afton Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Baton Rouge
Tract 22033003907 · East Baton Rouge Parish, LA · pop 6,229 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 22033003907 sits in the Afton Oaks area of Baton Rouge eviction risk, Louisiana eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It lands near the 32nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,135 a month against an average household income of $89,341 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,633
Renter share50.7%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$89,341
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baton Rouge and the region
Centroid at 30.4209, -91.0437 · click any tract to drill in
Why Afton Oaks scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baton Rouge
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,135 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baton Rouge
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baton Rouge
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baton Rouge
3.5
How Afton Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.8%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Afton Oaks
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baton Rouge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the East Baton Rouge County average of 5.0 and in line with the Louisiana statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 22033003907
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22033003907?
Census tract 22033003907 in the Afton Oaks neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22033003907?
Median gross rent is $1,135/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22033003907?
11.6% of residents in tract 22033003907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,229.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22033003907?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 71th, minority 65th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 22033003907 considered part of Afton Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22033003907 fall within Afton Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 22033003907 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 22033003907 compare to Baton Rouge overall?
Tract 22033003907 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Baton Rouge at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baton Rouge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baton Rouge
Top eight tracts in Baton Rouge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · LA
West Merrydale
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
22033003000
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Scotlandville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
New Dayton
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
College Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Magnolia Ridge
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Melrose East
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Scotlandville
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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