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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Shadows Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baton Rouge

Tract 22033004511 · East Baton Rouge Parish, LA · pop 5,024 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 22033004511, home to 5,024 residents in Shadows Lake in Baton Rouge, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 39th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,290 a month against an average household income of $67,097 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 39% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,130
Renter share74.9%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$67,097

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shadows Lake
Moderate
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 70 tracts In Baton Rouge
Low
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#53 of 108 tracts In East Baton Rouge Parish
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#798 of 1,379 tracts In Louisiana
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baton Rouge and the region

Centroid at 30.4251, -90.9878 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shadows Lake scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baton Rouge
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,290 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baton Rouge
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baton Rouge
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baton Rouge
3.5

How Shadows Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shadows Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 004511Baton Rouge: 3.43.4Baton Rougeparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.64.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shadows Lake

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baton Rouge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the East Baton Rouge County average of 5.0 and in line with the Louisiana statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 22033004511

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22033004511?

Census tract 22033004511 in the Shadows Lake neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 22033004511?

Median gross rent is $1,290/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 22033004511?

17.8% of residents in tract 22033004511 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,024.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 22033004511?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 21th, minority 79th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 22033004511 considered part of Shadows Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22033004511 fall within Shadows Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 22033004511 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 22033004511 compare to Baton Rouge overall?

Tract 22033004511 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Baton Rouge at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baton Rouge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baton Rouge

Top eight tracts in Baton Rouge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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