University South Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baton Rouge

The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $37,679, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. At $1,506 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of Baton Rouge commands.

97% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 23.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against East Baton Rouge Parish at 50.3%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.1 points above the East Baton Rouge Parish average of 4.3.

Food insecurity runs 26.2% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.