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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Bayou Blue Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 22057021904 · Lafourche Parish, LA · pop 1,980 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Bayou Blue

Census tract 22057021904 covers part of Bayou Blue, LA, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,980. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 7% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units619
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate30.8%
Median income$67,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Bayou Blue
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 26 tracts In Lafourche Parish
High
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#480 of 1,379 tracts In Louisiana
Elevated
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayou Blue and the region

Centroid at 29.6604, -90.6905 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayou Blue scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bayou Blue
2.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.0
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
30.8% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayou Blue
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayou Blue
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayou Blue
8.6

How Bayou Blue compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayou Blue risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0219043.8Bayou Blueparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayou Blue

Against Lafourche Parish at 40.9%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

Disability prevalence runs 44.3% against 31.5% nationally. Food insecurity runs 28.0% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.9 points above the Lafourche Parish average of 4.0.

That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 22057021904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22057021904?

Census tract 22057021904 in Bayou Blue scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 22057021904?

30.8% of residents in tract 22057021904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,980.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 22057021904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 22th, minority 21th, housing 10th.
Q4

What share of households in tract 22057021904 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5

How does tract 22057021904 compare to Bayou Blue overall?

Tract 22057021904 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bayou Blue at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayou Blue eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bayou Blue

Top eight tracts in Bayou Blue ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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