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Neighborhood · New Orleans, LA

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 10,313 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 5.6–6.4

Lake Forest is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in New Orleans with 3 census tracts and a population of 10,313 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 46% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,255/month sits 0% higher than the New Orleans citywide average ($1,251).

Risk score
6
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lake Forest vs New Orleans How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.1% +65%
New Orleans: 35.9%
Average gross rent
$1,255 +0%
New Orleans: $1,251
Average HH income
$35,471 -36%
New Orleans: $55,339
Poverty rate
34.4% +52%
New Orleans: 22.6%
Renter share
53.5% +10%
New Orleans: 48.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.6–6.4

Why Lake Forest scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
34.4% below poverty line · Range 5.7–10.0 across tracts
7.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–5.0 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Lake Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lake Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lake Forest: 6.06.0Lake ForestNeighborhoodParent city: 3.73.7Parent cityhost cityState: 3.03.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lake Forest?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.8 points from 5.6 to 6.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Lake Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
22071001744 6.4 4,687 72% $1,133
22071001755 5.6 3,758 41% $1,479
22071001756 5.6 1,868 64% $1,112
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 89%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lake Forest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 709Total filings (sum)
  • 11.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.3%Peak year (2013)
  • 12.34%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,034Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.1Avg monthly observed
  • 8.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.82×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (New Orleans, LA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lake Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lake Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lake Forest?

Lake Forest scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lake Forest compare to New Orleans overall?

Lake Forest scores 2.3 points higher than New Orleans overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,255 vs $1,251.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lake Forest?

Average gross rent in Lake Forest is $1,255/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lake Forest residents are renters?

54% of Lake Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in New Orleans). The neighborhood has 10,313 residents.
Q5

Is Lake Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Lake Forest sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lake Forest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lake Forest is census tract 22071001744 (score 6.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 6.4, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Lake Forest for landlords?

Lake Forest carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to New Orleans as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lake Forest?

Lake Forest has 9,819 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (86%), Other / Multiracial (6.7%), Hispanic / Latino (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lake Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside New Orleans

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lake Forest.

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