3 census tracts · pop 10,313 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10
· range 6.2–6.7
Lake Forest is a 3-tract neighborhood of New Orleans, LA, population 10,313. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.4/10, in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 46%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the New Orleans rate of 35.9%. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. 24.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 29.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 7.7/10.
Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. Court records for this tract carry 709 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 12.3% of renter households.
Among the 29 mapped neighborhoods of New Orleans, it ranks #5 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 3.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
With little internal variation, 6.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lake Forest vs New OrleansHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Lake Forest
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
709Total filings (sum)
11.03%Avg annual filing rate
12.3%Peak year (2013)
12.34%Latest filed (2013)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,034Total filings 2020-21
5.1Avg monthly observed
8.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (New Orleans, LA).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lake Forest
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
30.1%Housing insecurity
24.7%Utility shutoff threat
38.2%Food insecurity
37.0%SNAP enrollment
9.3%No health insurance
38.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lake Forest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lake Forest?
Lake Forest scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lake Forest compare to New Orleans overall?
Lake Forest scores 1.1 points higher than New Orleans overall (5.3/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,255 vs $1,251.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lake Forest?
Average gross rent in Lake Forest is $1,255/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lake Forest residents are renters?
54% of Lake Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in New Orleans). The neighborhood has 10,313 residents.
Q5
Is Lake Forest a high social-vulnerability area?
Lake Forest sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lake Forest have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lake Forest is census tract 22071001744 (score 6.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 6.7, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Lake Forest for landlords?
Lake Forest carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to New Orleans as a whole (5.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lake Forest?
Lake Forest has 9,819 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (86%), Other / Multiracial (6.7%), Hispanic / Latino (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
