Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Elevated , New Orleans
Tract 22071001744 · Orleans Parish, LA · pop 4,687 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
22071001744 is a census tract in the Lake Forest area of New Orleans, LA. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,687. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,782
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate47.8%
Median income$29,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Orleans and the region
Centroid at 30.0365, -89.9867 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Forest scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Orleans
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
47.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,133 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Orleans
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Orleans
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Orleans
4.5
How Lake Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 709Total filings over 8 yrs
- 11.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.3%Peak (2013)
- 159Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 448% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 641Total filings 2020-21
- 8.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 13.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked New Orleans, LA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.6%Housing insecurity
- 30.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 47.8%Food insecurity
- 48.3%SNAP enrollment
- 24.3%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 24.7%Frequent mental distress
- 43.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest
Cost burden runs 72% here against 51.4% across Orleans Parish. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Food insecurity runs 47.8% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Set annual rent against average income of $29,063 and the ratio lands at 47%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 30.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10. Against the Orleans Parish average of 5.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
The filing record is not thin: 709 evictions over 8 years of observation. At $1,133 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of New Orleans commands.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 22071001744
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22071001744?
Census tract 22071001744 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 22071001744?
Median gross rent is $1,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 22071001744?
47.8% of residents in tract 22071001744 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,687.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 22071001744?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 93th, minority 98th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 22071001744 considered part of Lake Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22071001744 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 22071001744?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 709 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 22071001744 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.03% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 22071001744 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (New Orleans eviction risk, LA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 22071001744 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 22071001744 compare to New Orleans overall?
Tract 22071001744 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Orleans at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Orleans eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Orleans
Top eight tracts in New Orleans ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · LA
Tremé
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Plum Orchard
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Warehouse District
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Tremé
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Broadmoor
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Central Business District
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Broadmoor
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · LA
Saint Roch
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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