Covington Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 37.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $66,658, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.7/10.

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the St. Tammany Parish average of 44.8%. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the LA average is 4.4, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the St. Tammany Parish average of 4.0 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.