Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Main Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bridgton
Tract 23005016002 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 1,858 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
In the Lower Main area of Bridgton, census tract 23005016002 scores 4.8/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 32nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $910 a month while the average household earns $64,375 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units722
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$64,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bridgton and the region
Centroid at 44.0747, -70.6932 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Main scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bridgton
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$910 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bridgton
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bridgton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bridgton
7.9
How Lower Main compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 19.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Main
The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bridgton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 4.5 and in line with the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23005016002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005016002?
Census tract 23005016002 in the Lower Main neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23005016002?
Median gross rent is $910/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23005016002?
22.5% of residents in tract 23005016002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,858.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23005016002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 68th, minority 7th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 23005016002 considered part of Lower Main?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005016002 fall within Lower Main (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23005016002 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23005016002 compare to Bridgton overall?
Tract 23005016002 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bridgton at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bridgton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bridgton
Top eight tracts in Bridgton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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